QuarterlyIQ Insights · ADBE
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $237.88. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $573.10 | 31.8 | 18.00 | Mgmt | 48 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $559.30 | 25.6 | 21.84 | TTM | 48 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $780.91 | 33.1 | 23.58 | TTM | 48 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $651.74 | 31.8 | 20.47 | TTM | 48 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $473.38 | 8.7 | 54.64 | TTM | 48 |
| PEG | 12M | $762.74 | 37.3 | 20.47 | TTM | 48 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $549.37 | 26.8 | 20.47 | TTM | 48 |
| triangulated | 12M | $665.69 | 31.8 | 20.91 | Triangulated | 48 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $962.11 | 31.8 | 30.22 | Mgmt(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $1100.79 | 33.1 | 33.23 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $1094.14 | 31.8 | 34.37 | Analyst | 59 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $674.04 | 8.7 | 77.81 | Analyst | 59 |
| PEG | 3Y | $1280.48 | 37.3 | 34.37 | Analyst | 59 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $922.28 | 26.8 | 34.37 | Analyst | 59 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $1359.02 | 31.8 | 42.68 | Mgmt(prov.) | 62 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $1383.90 | 33.1 | 41.78 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 62 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $1545.51 | 31.8 | 48.54 | Analyst | 62 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $853.10 | 8.7 | 98.48 | Analyst | 62 |
| PEG | 5Y | $1808.72 | 37.3 | 48.54 | Analyst | 62 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $1302.75 | 26.8 | 48.54 | Analyst | 62 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.