QuarterlyIQ Insights · ADM
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $80.13. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $75.51 | 17.1 | 4.42 | Mgmt | 20 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $47.01 | 14.7 | 4.45 | TTM | 20 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $186.81 | 18.9 | 9.90 | TTM | 20 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $58.53 | 17.1 | 3.43 | TTM | 20 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $293.67 | 1.7 | 175.91 | TTM | 20 |
| PEG | 12M | $324.77 | 94.7 | 3.43 | TTM | 20 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $44.22 | 12.9 | 3.43 | TTM | 20 |
| triangulated | 12M | $60.83 | 17.1 | 3.56 | Triangulated | 20 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $167.42 | 17.1 | 9.81 | Mgmt(prov.) | 30 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $544.31 | 18.9 | 28.85 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 30 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $129.78 | 17.1 | 7.61 | Analyst | 30 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $322.93 | 1.7 | 193.44 | Analyst | 30 |
| PEG | 3Y | $720.11 | 94.7 | 7.61 | Analyst | 30 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $98.05 | 12.9 | 7.61 | Analyst | 30 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $284.68 | 17.1 | 16.68 | Mgmt(prov.) | 74 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $220.67 | 17.1 | 12.93 | Analyst | 74 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $344.03 | 1.7 | 206.08 | Analyst | 74 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $166.71 | 12.9 | 12.93 | Analyst | 74 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.