QuarterlyIQ Insights · AJG
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $216.99. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $40.21 | 14.5 | 2.78 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $179.41 | 2.0 | 87.73 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $93.41 | 12.8 | 7.31 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $166.34 | 14.5 | 11.50 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $164.67 | 3.1 | 53.51 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $310.69 | 27.0 | 11.50 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $309.57 | 26.9 | 11.50 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $166.97 | 14.5 | 11.54 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $65.77 | 14.5 | 4.55 | Mgmt(prov.) | 51 |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $406.81 | 2.0 | 198.93 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 51 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $170.60 | 12.8 | 13.35 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 51 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $272.08 | 14.5 | 18.81 | Analyst | 51 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $294.40 | 3.1 | 95.65 | Analyst | 51 |
| PEG | 3Y | $508.21 | 27.0 | 18.81 | Analyst | 51 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $506.36 | 26.9 | 18.81 | Analyst | 51 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $91.31 | 14.5 | 6.31 | Mgmt(prov.) | 51 |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $702.15 | 2.0 | 343.36 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 51 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $254.90 | 12.8 | 19.95 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 51 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $377.72 | 14.5 | 26.11 | Analyst | 51 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $433.65 | 3.1 | 140.90 | Analyst | 51 |
| PEG | 5Y | $705.52 | 27.0 | 26.11 | Analyst | 51 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $702.96 | 26.9 | 26.11 | Analyst | 51 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.