QuarterlyIQ Insights · ALGN
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $178.10. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $166.65 | 15.1 | 10.07 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $146.92 | 20.9 | 7.02 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $211.87 | 19.3 | 10.97 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $190.95 | 3.4 | 55.45 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $174.76 | 15.9 | 10.97 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $272.97 | 24.9 | 10.97 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $221.92 | 19.3 | 11.49 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $157.26 | 20.9 | 7.51 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $266.98 | 19.3 | 13.82 | Analyst | 52 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $229.25 | 3.4 | 66.57 | Analyst | 52 |
| PEG | 3Y | $220.21 | 15.9 | 13.82 | Analyst | 52 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $343.96 | 24.9 | 13.82 | Analyst | 52 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $164.55 | 20.9 | 7.86 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $311.46 | 19.3 | 16.13 | Analyst | 59 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $258.95 | 3.4 | 75.20 | Analyst | 59 |
| PEG | 5Y | $256.90 | 15.9 | 16.13 | Analyst | 59 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $401.28 | 24.9 | 16.13 | Analyst | 59 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.