QuarterlyIQ Insights · AMAT
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $499.21. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $141.68 | 31.8 | 4.45 | Mgmt | 40 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $293.61 | 25.6 | 11.47 | TTM | 40 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $221.41 | 33.1 | 6.68 | TTM | 40 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $314.89 | 31.8 | 9.89 | TTM | 40 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $316.47 | 8.7 | 36.53 | TTM | 40 |
| PEG | 12M | $826.30 | 83.5 | 9.89 | TTM | 40 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $208.96 | 21.1 | 9.89 | TTM | 40 |
| triangulated | 12M | $320.96 | 31.8 | 10.08 | Triangulated | 40 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $407.97 | 31.8 | 12.81 | Mgmt(prov.) | 18 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $199.99 | 33.1 | 6.04 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 18 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $906.70 | 31.8 | 28.48 | Analyst | 18 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $686.27 | 8.7 | 79.22 | Analyst | 18 |
| PEG | 3Y | $2379.30 | 83.5 | 28.48 | Analyst | 18 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $601.70 | 21.1 | 28.48 | Analyst | 18 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $825.72 | 31.8 | 25.93 | Mgmt(prov.) | 11 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $186.88 | 33.1 | 5.64 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 11 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $1835.14 | 31.8 | 57.64 | Analyst | 11 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $1149.75 | 8.7 | 132.72 | Analyst | 11 |
| PEG | 5Y | $4815.66 | 83.5 | 57.64 | Analyst | 11 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $1217.84 | 21.1 | 57.64 | Analyst | 11 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.