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QuarterlyIQ Insights · AMCR

Factors

The full factor breakdown (the numbers behind each rank). The overview page shows the same reads in short form; this is the depth.

Factor signals

Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a plain-language read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.

Recent financial performance
strong

Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated strong grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=1093).

94th pctl · Materials
The numbers
bonus
0
dir share
1
slope norm
0.2961
Earnings quality
robust

Over the trailing year it converted 2.46x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Materials names rated robust grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=988).

83th pctl · Materials
The numbers
ttm ni
678
ttm cfo
1670
Macro sensitivity

Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.

  • the US dollar: This stock tends to fall when the dollar strengthens.β -1.01 · R² 0.06
  • the broad stock market: This stock moves with the broad market (high beta).β 0.62 · R² 0.14

Not enough signal to read sensitivity to real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).

Management & capital allocation
volatile

22 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Materials names rated volatile grew net income 61% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=235).

1th pctl · Materials
The numbers
n events
22
raw activity
2.8795
directional rank
0.0085
directional status
capital_unfriendly

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.

Earnings setup & market context

The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.

Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bullish10 analysts, 67% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.16 → $1.19 (+2.7% / 30d). 7 raised, 3 cut, 10 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 67% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 11.7% above current price.

Transition story with positive analyst positioning (often a turnaround setup).

Sector context
Intermediate · Weekly
Sector phase: materials is in declining, with may be transitioning (~1.0 years in phase).
Sector regime (90d momentum): headwind.
headwind-10.3%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLB

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

Full materials context →All sectors →

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifierLong-term · 1–3 yr
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
CrisisE -1.92 · M -0.06
Single-axisneutralz -0.08

Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.