QuarterlyIQ Insights · AOS
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $59.25. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $98.78 | 26.0 | 3.80 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $96.12 | 18.0 | 5.50 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $127.36 | 27.4 | 4.65 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $97.74 | 26.0 | 3.76 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $100.30 | 3.7 | 27.38 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $73.32 | 19.5 | 3.76 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $72.52 | 19.3 | 3.76 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $96.91 | 26.0 | 3.73 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $121.03 | 26.0 | 4.66 | Mgmt(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $193.26 | 27.4 | 7.06 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $119.76 | 26.0 | 4.61 | Analyst | 59 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $114.64 | 3.7 | 31.29 | Analyst | 59 |
| PEG | 3Y | $89.84 | 19.5 | 4.61 | Analyst | 59 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $88.85 | 19.3 | 4.61 | Analyst | 59 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $138.58 | 26.0 | 5.33 | Mgmt(prov.) | 64 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $255.21 | 27.4 | 9.32 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 64 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $137.12 | 26.0 | 5.28 | Analyst | 64 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $125.33 | 3.7 | 34.21 | Analyst | 64 |
| PEG | 5Y | $102.86 | 19.5 | 5.28 | Analyst | 64 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $101.74 | 19.3 | 5.28 | Analyst | 64 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.