QuarterlyIQ Insights · APD
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $282.97. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $319.25 | 24.3 | 13.13 | Mgmt | 48 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $233.99 | 24.3 | 9.62 | TTM | 48 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $123.89 | 2.3 | 54.38 | TTM | 48 |
| PEG | 12M | $456.17 | 47.4 | 9.62 | TTM | 48 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $241.82 | 25.1 | 9.62 | TTM | 48 |
| triangulated | 12M | $239.96 | 24.3 | 9.87 | Triangulated | 48 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $783.34 | 24.3 | 32.21 | Mgmt(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $574.15 | 24.3 | 23.60 | Analyst | 46 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $158.89 | 2.3 | 69.75 | Analyst | 46 |
| PEG | 3Y | $1119.32 | 47.4 | 23.60 | Analyst | 46 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $593.37 | 25.1 | 23.60 | Analyst | 46 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $1425.06 | 24.3 | 58.59 | Mgmt(prov.) | 48 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $1044.50 | 24.3 | 42.94 | Analyst | 48 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $187.56 | 2.3 | 82.33 | Analyst | 48 |
| PEG | 5Y | $2036.28 | 47.4 | 42.94 | Analyst | 48 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $1079.46 | 25.1 | 42.94 | Analyst | 48 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.