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QuarterlyIQ Insights · ATO

Price

Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.

Price

Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.

Close 2026-06-09
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

What it's worth (estimated)

A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $167.46. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.

12-month· primaryfair
$169.24consensus
Range $166.32$176.18
vs price: -1% below
Method agreement 50/100 · 7 methods

No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.

3-yearfair
$211.68consensus
Range $206.77$231.89
vs price: -21% below
Method agreement 51/100 · 6 methods

Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.

5-yearinexpensive
$245.53consensus
Range $239.83$268.97
vs price: -32% below
Method agreement 52/100 · 6 methods

Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.

By method

Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.

MethodHorizonEst. priceMultiplePer-share inputEPS sourceConf.
Mgmt guidance12M$171.0020.28.45Mgmt50
Peer EV/EBITDA12M$181.3512.818.60TTM50
Peer P/E12M$164.7320.28.14TTM50
Peer P/S12M$114.673.038.33TTM50
PEG12M$190.5223.48.14TTM50
Own P/E history12M$167.9220.68.14TTM50
triangulated12M$169.2420.28.36Triangulated50
Mgmt guidance3Y$213.6120.210.56Mgmt(prov.)51
Peer EV/EBITDA3Y$345.9112.831.46Hist. CAGR(prov.)51
Peer P/E3Y$205.7820.210.17Analyst51
Peer P/S3Y$90.263.030.17Analyst51
PEG3Y$237.9923.410.17Analyst51
Own P/E history3Y$209.7520.610.17Analyst51
Mgmt guidance5Y$247.7720.212.24Mgmt(prov.)52
Peer EV/EBITDA5Y$514.8212.844.67Hist. CAGR(prov.)52
Peer P/E5Y$238.6820.211.79Analyst52
Peer P/S5Y$76.963.025.72Analyst52
PEG5Y$276.0423.411.79Analyst52
Own P/E history5Y$243.2920.611.79Analyst52

Composite score history

Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.

60 snapshots

P/E history

Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.

71 monthly points available
Coming next

Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.