QuarterlyIQ Insights · ATO
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $167.46. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $171.00 | 20.2 | 8.45 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $181.35 | 12.8 | 18.60 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $164.73 | 20.2 | 8.14 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $114.67 | 3.0 | 38.33 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $190.52 | 23.4 | 8.14 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $167.92 | 20.6 | 8.14 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $169.24 | 20.2 | 8.36 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $213.61 | 20.2 | 10.56 | Mgmt(prov.) | 51 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 3Y | $345.91 | 12.8 | 31.46 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 51 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $205.78 | 20.2 | 10.17 | Analyst | 51 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $90.26 | 3.0 | 30.17 | Analyst | 51 |
| PEG | 3Y | $237.99 | 23.4 | 10.17 | Analyst | 51 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $209.75 | 20.6 | 10.17 | Analyst | 51 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $247.77 | 20.2 | 12.24 | Mgmt(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 5Y | $514.82 | 12.8 | 44.67 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $238.68 | 20.2 | 11.79 | Analyst | 52 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $76.96 | 3.0 | 25.72 | Analyst | 52 |
| PEG | 5Y | $276.04 | 23.4 | 11.79 | Analyst | 52 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $243.29 | 20.6 | 11.79 | Analyst | 52 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.