QuarterlyIQ Insights · AVB
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $186.86. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $102.14 | 16.6 | 6.17 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $189.67 | 21.1 | 8.99 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FFO | 12M | $224.04 | 16.6 | 13.53 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $167.70 | 8.0 | 20.98 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $24.57 | 5.1 | 4.78 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $142.07 | 29.7 | 4.78 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $82.02 | 16.6 | 4.95 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $105.94 | 16.6 | 6.40 | Mgmt(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $187.37 | 21.1 | 8.88 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $193.27 | 8.0 | 24.17 | Analyst | 46 |
| PEG | 3Y | $25.49 | 5.1 | 4.96 | Analyst | 46 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $147.36 | 29.7 | 4.96 | Analyst | 46 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $108.55 | 16.6 | 6.56 | Mgmt(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $185.86 | 21.1 | 8.81 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $212.44 | 8.0 | 26.57 | Analyst | 52 |
| PEG | 5Y | $26.12 | 5.1 | 5.08 | Analyst | 52 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $150.99 | 29.7 | 5.08 | Analyst | 52 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.