QuarterlyIQ Insights · AXP
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $318.44. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $254.57 | 14.5 | 17.60 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $90.89 | 2.0 | 44.45 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $260.75 | 12.8 | 20.40 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $231.86 | 14.5 | 16.03 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $178.21 | 3.1 | 57.90 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $380.56 | 23.7 | 16.03 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $312.21 | 19.5 | 16.03 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $239.07 | 14.5 | 16.53 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $393.90 | 14.5 | 27.23 | Mgmt(prov.) | 53 |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $109.11 | 2.0 | 53.36 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 53 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $248.11 | 12.8 | 19.42 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 53 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $358.77 | 14.5 | 24.80 | Analyst | 53 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $758.35 | 3.1 | 246.40 | Analyst | 53 |
| PEG | 3Y | $588.84 | 23.7 | 24.80 | Analyst | 53 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $483.10 | 19.5 | 24.80 | Analyst | 53 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $526.96 | 14.5 | 36.43 | Mgmt(prov.) | 16 |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $123.24 | 2.0 | 60.27 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 16 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $240.02 | 12.8 | 18.78 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 16 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $479.95 | 14.5 | 33.18 | Analyst | 16 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $1991.44 | 3.1 | 647.05 | Analyst | 16 |
| PEG | 5Y | $787.74 | 23.7 | 33.18 | Analyst | 16 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $646.28 | 19.5 | 33.18 | Analyst | 16 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.