QuarterlyIQ Insights · BDX
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $151.95. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $243.74 | 19.3 | 12.62 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $145.83 | 15.1 | 13.46 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $228.67 | 20.9 | 10.92 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $259.77 | 19.3 | 13.45 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $234.73 | 3.4 | 68.17 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $254.52 | 18.9 | 13.45 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $268.89 | 19.3 | 13.92 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $241.58 | 19.3 | 12.51 | Mgmt(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $623.67 | 20.9 | 29.78 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $257.47 | 19.3 | 13.33 | Analyst | 52 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $237.52 | 3.4 | 68.98 | Analyst | 52 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $252.27 | 18.9 | 13.33 | Analyst | 52 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $240.15 | 19.3 | 12.43 | Mgmt(prov.) | 12 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $1217.46 | 20.9 | 58.14 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 12 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $255.94 | 19.3 | 13.25 | Analyst | 12 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $239.40 | 3.4 | 69.52 | Analyst | 12 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $250.77 | 18.9 | 13.25 | Analyst | 12 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.