QuarterlyIQ Insights · CAT
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $914.42. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $144.01 | 26.0 | 5.54 | Mgmt | 31 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $495.62 | 18.0 | 32.13 | TTM | 31 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $507.10 | 27.4 | 18.53 | TTM | 31 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $525.09 | 26.0 | 20.20 | TTM | 31 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $515.51 | 3.7 | 140.71 | TTM | 31 |
| PEG | 12M | $1617.84 | 80.1 | 20.20 | TTM | 31 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $376.16 | 18.6 | 20.20 | TTM | 31 |
| triangulated | 12M | $558.07 | 26.0 | 21.47 | Triangulated | 31 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $307.54 | 26.0 | 11.83 | Mgmt(prov.) | 15 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $758.63 | 27.4 | 27.71 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 15 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $1121.34 | 26.0 | 43.14 | Analyst | 15 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $827.47 | 3.7 | 225.87 | Analyst | 15 |
| PEG | 3Y | $3454.92 | 80.1 | 43.14 | Analyst | 15 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $803.30 | 18.6 | 43.14 | Analyst | 15 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $509.99 | 26.0 | 19.62 | Mgmt(prov.) | 9 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $992.32 | 27.4 | 36.25 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 9 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $1859.54 | 26.0 | 71.54 | Analyst | 9 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $1134.40 | 3.7 | 309.64 | Analyst | 9 |
| PEG | 5Y | $5729.37 | 80.1 | 71.54 | Analyst | 9 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $1332.12 | 18.6 | 71.54 | Analyst | 9 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.