QuarterlyIQ Insights · COST
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $968.59. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $154.94 | 17.1 | 9.08 | Mgmt | 46 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $441.91 | 14.7 | 27.94 | TTM | 46 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $387.75 | 18.9 | 20.55 | TTM | 46 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $339.23 | 17.1 | 19.88 | TTM | 46 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $1012.63 | 1.7 | 606.58 | TTM | 46 |
| PEG | 12M | $694.74 | 34.9 | 19.88 | TTM | 46 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $967.21 | 48.7 | 19.88 | TTM | 46 |
| triangulated | 12M | $341.37 | 17.1 | 20.01 | Triangulated | 46 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $213.16 | 17.1 | 12.49 | Mgmt(prov.) | 44 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $608.29 | 18.9 | 32.25 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 44 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $466.71 | 17.1 | 27.35 | Analyst | 44 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $1603.08 | 1.7 | 960.27 | Analyst | 44 |
| PEG | 3Y | $955.79 | 34.9 | 27.35 | Analyst | 44 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $1330.65 | 48.7 | 27.35 | Analyst | 44 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $263.68 | 17.1 | 15.45 | Mgmt(prov.) | 42 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $821.27 | 18.9 | 43.54 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 42 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $577.30 | 17.1 | 33.83 | Analyst | 42 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $2177.49 | 1.7 | 1304.35 | Analyst | 42 |
| PEG | 5Y | $1182.29 | 34.9 | 33.83 | Analyst | 42 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $1645.98 | 48.7 | 33.83 | Analyst | 42 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.