QuarterlyIQ Insights · DLTR
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $112.15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $117.74 | 17.1 | 6.90 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $137.47 | 18.9 | 7.29 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $107.16 | 17.1 | 6.28 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $156.61 | 1.7 | 93.81 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $246.43 | 39.2 | 6.28 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $123.92 | 19.7 | 6.28 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $110.23 | 17.1 | 6.46 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $168.08 | 17.1 | 9.85 | Mgmt(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $448.17 | 18.9 | 23.76 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $152.98 | 17.1 | 8.96 | Analyst | 46 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $183.24 | 1.7 | 109.76 | Analyst | 46 |
| PEG | 3Y | $351.79 | 39.2 | 8.96 | Analyst | 46 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $176.91 | 19.7 | 8.96 | Analyst | 46 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $213.10 | 17.1 | 12.49 | Mgmt(prov.) | 24 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $985.38 | 18.9 | 52.23 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 24 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $193.95 | 17.1 | 11.37 | Analyst | 24 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $203.46 | 1.7 | 121.88 | Analyst | 24 |
| PEG | 5Y | $446.01 | 39.2 | 11.37 | Analyst | 24 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $224.29 | 19.7 | 11.37 | Analyst | 24 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.