QuarterlyIQ Insights · ESS
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $284.68. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $99.99 | 16.6 | 6.04 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $303.11 | 21.1 | 14.37 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FFO | 12M | $341.15 | 16.6 | 20.61 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $234.00 | 8.0 | 29.27 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $272.57 | 45.7 | 5.97 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $97.42 | 16.6 | 5.89 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $98.25 | 16.6 | 5.93 | Mgmt(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $360.30 | 21.1 | 17.08 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/FFO | 3Y | $369.41 | 16.6 | 22.32 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $263.75 | 8.0 | 32.99 | Analyst | 46 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $267.83 | 45.7 | 5.87 | Analyst | 46 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $97.10 | 16.6 | 5.87 | Mgmt(prov.) | 62 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $404.30 | 21.1 | 19.17 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 62 |
| Peer P/FFO | 5Y | $389.53 | 16.6 | 23.53 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 62 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $285.64 | 8.0 | 35.73 | Analyst | 62 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $264.71 | 45.7 | 5.80 | Analyst | 62 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.