QuarterlyIQ Insights · EXC
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $45.33. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $57.88 | 20.2 | 2.86 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $71.14 | 12.8 | 9.43 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $55.65 | 20.2 | 2.75 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $73.65 | 3.0 | 24.62 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $54.95 | 20.0 | 2.75 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $45.63 | 16.6 | 2.75 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $56.63 | 20.2 | 2.80 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $70.06 | 20.2 | 3.46 | Mgmt(prov.) | 51 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $67.36 | 20.2 | 3.33 | Analyst | 51 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $81.49 | 3.0 | 27.24 | Analyst | 51 |
| PEG | 3Y | $66.51 | 20.0 | 3.33 | Analyst | 51 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $55.23 | 16.6 | 3.33 | Analyst | 51 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $79.57 | 20.2 | 3.93 | Mgmt(prov.) | 75 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $76.51 | 20.2 | 3.78 | Analyst | 75 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $87.17 | 3.0 | 29.14 | Analyst | 75 |
| PEG | 5Y | $75.54 | 20.0 | 3.78 | Analyst | 75 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $62.73 | 16.6 | 3.78 | Analyst | 75 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.