QuarterlyIQ Insights · EXPD
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $166.45. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $73.30 | 26.0 | 2.82 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $171.52 | 18.0 | 9.02 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $187.94 | 27.4 | 6.87 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $160.65 | 26.0 | 6.18 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $307.68 | 3.7 | 83.98 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $130.13 | 21.1 | 6.18 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $133.24 | 21.6 | 6.18 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $165.42 | 26.0 | 6.36 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $91.23 | 26.0 | 3.51 | Mgmt(prov.) | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $79.38 | 27.4 | 2.90 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $199.94 | 26.0 | 7.69 | Analyst | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $346.68 | 3.7 | 94.63 | Analyst | 50 |
| PEG | 3Y | $161.96 | 21.1 | 7.69 | Analyst | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $165.83 | 21.6 | 7.69 | Analyst | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $105.56 | 26.0 | 4.06 | Mgmt(prov.) | 45 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $44.68 | 27.4 | 1.63 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 45 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $231.33 | 26.0 | 8.90 | Analyst | 45 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $375.39 | 3.7 | 102.46 | Analyst | 45 |
| PEG | 5Y | $187.39 | 21.1 | 8.90 | Analyst | 45 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $191.87 | 21.6 | 8.90 | Analyst | 45 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.