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QuarterlyIQ Insights · EXPE

Factors

The full factor breakdown (the numbers behind each rank). The overview page shows the same reads in short form; this is the depth.

Factor signals

Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a plain-language read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.

Recent financial performance
neutral

Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=3804).

36th pctl · Consumer Discretionary
The numbers
bonus
0
dir share
1
slope norm
-0.2405
Earnings quality
robust

Over the trailing year it converted 3.25x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated robust grew net income 65% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=2427).

83th pctl · Consumer Discretionary
The numbers
ttm ni
1495
ttm cfo
4859
Macro sensitivity

Most sensitive to the broad stock market.

  • the broad stock market: This stock moves with the broad market (high beta).β 1.38 · R² 0.25

Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates (low R² over the window).

Management & capital allocation
volatile

9 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=486).

5th pctl · Consumer Discretionary
The numbers
n events
9
raw activity
2.2075
directional rank
0.2664
directional status
capital_unfriendly

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.

Earnings setup & market context

The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.

Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bullishEPS revised +3.8% / 30d, n=23for period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $5.01 → $5.20 (+3.8% / 30d). 14 raised, 5 cut, 23 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 4 maintained. 42% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 11.7% above current price.

Transition story with positive analyst positioning (often a turnaround setup).

Sector context
Intermediate · Weekly
Sector phase: consumer discretionary is in maturing, with decelerating (~0.5 years in phase).
Sector regime (90d momentum): headwind.
headwind-7.6%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLY

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

Full consumer discretionary context →All sectors →

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifierLong-term · 1–3 yr
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
SteadyE -0.09 · M +0.18
Single-axisFEARz -2.20

Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.