QuarterlyIQ Insights · FDX
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $331.76. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $427.61 | 26.0 | 16.45 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $624.41 | 18.0 | 39.24 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $500.63 | 27.4 | 18.29 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $519.11 | 26.0 | 19.97 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $1404.06 | 3.7 | 383.25 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $696.03 | 34.9 | 19.97 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $298.64 | 15.0 | 19.97 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $539.25 | 26.0 | 20.74 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $609.21 | 26.0 | 23.44 | Mgmt(prov.) | 55 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $1042.52 | 27.4 | 38.08 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 55 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $739.57 | 26.0 | 28.45 | Analyst | 55 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $1737.30 | 3.7 | 474.21 | Analyst | 55 |
| PEG | 3Y | $991.63 | 34.9 | 28.45 | Analyst | 55 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $425.47 | 15.0 | 28.45 | Analyst | 55 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $771.34 | 26.0 | 29.67 | Mgmt(prov.) | 57 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $1700.06 | 27.4 | 62.11 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 57 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $936.40 | 26.0 | 36.02 | Analyst | 57 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $2002.33 | 3.7 | 546.55 | Analyst | 57 |
| PEG | 5Y | $1255.54 | 34.9 | 36.02 | Analyst | 57 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $538.71 | 15.0 | 36.02 | Analyst | 57 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.