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QuarterlyIQ Insights · GM

Factors

The full factor breakdown (the numbers behind each rank). The overview page shows the same reads in short form; this is the depth.

Factor signals

Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a plain-language read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.

Recent financial performance
weak

Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).

10th pctl · Consumer Discretionary
The numbers
bonus
0
dir share
0.254
slope norm
-0.0951
Earnings quality
robust

Over the trailing year it converted 9.06x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated robust grew net income 65% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=2427).

96th pctl · Consumer Discretionary
The numbers
ttm ni
2623
ttm cfo
23756
Macro sensitivity

Most sensitive to the broad stock market.

  • the broad stock market: This stock moves with the broad market (high beta).β 0.93 · R² 0.21

Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).

Management & capital allocation
volatile

8 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=486).

17th pctl · Consumer Discretionary
The numbers
n events
8
raw activity
1.2686
directional rank
0.2007
directional status
capital_unfriendly

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.

Earnings setup & market context

The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.

Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bearish17 analysts, 74% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $3.24 → $3.19 (-1.6% / 30d). 6 raised, 11 cut, 17 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 74% of analysts rate Buy.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

Sector context
Intermediate · Weekly
Sector phase: consumer discretionary is in maturing, with decelerating (~0.5 years in phase).
Sector regime (90d momentum): headwind.
headwind-7.6%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLY

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

Full consumer discretionary context →All sectors →

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifierLong-term · 1–3 yr
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
SteadyE -0.09 · M +0.18
Single-axisFEARz -2.20

Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.