QuarterlyIQ Insights · HCA
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $374.88. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $585.21 | 19.3 | 30.30 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $621.50 | 15.1 | 54.97 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $732.38 | 20.9 | 34.97 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $561.84 | 19.3 | 29.09 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $1128.00 | 3.4 | 327.58 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $499.66 | 17.2 | 29.09 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $434.79 | 14.9 | 29.09 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $590.72 | 19.3 | 30.59 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $750.31 | 19.3 | 38.85 | Mgmt(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $1366.35 | 20.9 | 65.25 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $720.35 | 19.3 | 37.30 | Analyst | 52 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $1376.49 | 3.4 | 399.74 | Analyst | 52 |
| PEG | 3Y | $640.63 | 17.2 | 37.30 | Analyst | 52 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $557.46 | 14.9 | 37.30 | Analyst | 52 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $885.52 | 19.3 | 45.85 | Mgmt(prov.) | 55 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $2070.66 | 20.9 | 98.88 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 55 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $850.16 | 19.3 | 44.02 | Analyst | 55 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $1571.87 | 3.4 | 456.48 | Analyst | 55 |
| PEG | 5Y | $756.07 | 17.2 | 44.02 | Analyst | 55 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $657.91 | 14.9 | 44.02 | Analyst | 55 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.