QuarterlyIQ Insights · HLT
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $342.59. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $150.36 | 18.0 | 8.34 | Mgmt | 44 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $112.42 | 13.6 | 12.02 | TTM | 44 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $176.01 | 18.7 | 9.41 | TTM | 44 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $151.44 | 18.0 | 8.40 | TTM | 44 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $97.77 | 2.1 | 47.52 | TTM | 44 |
| PEG | 12M | $447.63 | 53.3 | 8.40 | TTM | 44 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $306.94 | 36.5 | 8.40 | TTM | 44 |
| triangulated | 12M | $153.89 | 18.0 | 8.54 | Triangulated | 44 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $227.34 | 18.0 | 12.61 | Mgmt(prov.) | 45 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $230.67 | 18.7 | 12.33 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 45 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $228.97 | 18.0 | 12.70 | Analyst | 45 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $157.85 | 2.1 | 76.72 | Analyst | 45 |
| PEG | 3Y | $676.81 | 53.3 | 12.70 | Analyst | 45 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $464.09 | 36.5 | 12.70 | Analyst | 45 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $299.48 | 18.0 | 16.61 | Mgmt(prov.) | 44 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $276.24 | 18.7 | 14.76 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 44 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $301.64 | 18.0 | 16.73 | Analyst | 44 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $217.23 | 2.1 | 105.58 | Analyst | 44 |
| PEG | 5Y | $891.59 | 53.3 | 16.73 | Analyst | 44 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $611.36 | 36.5 | 16.73 | Analyst | 44 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.