QuarterlyIQ Insights · HRL
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $23.98. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $23.72 | 17.1 | 1.39 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $28.52 | 14.7 | 2.18 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $23.73 | 18.9 | 1.26 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $24.06 | 17.1 | 1.41 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $36.02 | 1.7 | 21.58 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $33.17 | 23.5 | 1.41 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $28.57 | 20.3 | 1.41 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $24.30 | 17.1 | 1.42 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $29.51 | 17.1 | 1.73 | Mgmt(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $22.42 | 18.9 | 1.19 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $29.93 | 17.1 | 1.75 | Analyst | 46 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $39.98 | 1.7 | 23.95 | Analyst | 46 |
| PEG | 3Y | $41.27 | 23.5 | 1.75 | Analyst | 46 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $35.54 | 20.3 | 1.75 | Analyst | 46 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $34.14 | 17.1 | 2.00 | Mgmt(prov.) | 75 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $21.59 | 18.9 | 1.14 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 75 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $34.63 | 17.1 | 2.03 | Analyst | 75 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $42.85 | 1.7 | 25.67 | Analyst | 75 |
| PEG | 5Y | $47.74 | 23.5 | 2.03 | Analyst | 75 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $41.11 | 20.3 | 2.03 | Analyst | 75 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.