QuarterlyIQ Insights · HSY
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $175.75. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $100.76 | 17.1 | 5.91 | Mgmt | 3 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $108.36 | 17.1 | 6.35 | TTM | 3 |
| PEG | 12M | $654.12 | 103.0 | 6.35 | TTM | 3 |
| triangulated | 12M | $111.06 | 17.1 | 6.51 | Triangulated | 3 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $237.44 | 17.1 | 13.91 | Mgmt(prov.) | 10 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $255.34 | 17.1 | 14.96 | Analyst | 10 |
| PEG | 3Y | $1541.40 | 103.0 | 14.96 | Analyst | 10 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $420.47 | 17.1 | 24.64 | Mgmt(prov.) | 60 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $452.15 | 17.1 | 26.50 | Analyst | 60 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.