QuarterlyIQ Insights · HWM
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $257.13. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $128.41 | 26.0 | 4.94 | Mgmt | 48 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $104.91 | 18.0 | 6.13 | TTM | 48 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $96.51 | 27.4 | 3.53 | TTM | 48 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $107.36 | 26.0 | 4.13 | TTM | 48 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $70.90 | 3.7 | 19.35 | TTM | 48 |
| PEG | 12M | $313.16 | 75.8 | 4.13 | TTM | 48 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $182.50 | 44.2 | 4.13 | TTM | 48 |
| triangulated | 12M | $112.86 | 26.0 | 4.34 | Triangulated | 48 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $264.55 | 26.0 | 10.18 | Mgmt(prov.) | 49 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $273.71 | 27.4 | 10.00 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 49 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $221.17 | 26.0 | 8.51 | Analyst | 49 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $134.63 | 3.7 | 36.75 | Analyst | 49 |
| PEG | 3Y | $645.15 | 75.8 | 8.51 | Analyst | 49 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $375.99 | 44.2 | 8.51 | Analyst | 49 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $428.33 | 26.0 | 16.48 | Mgmt(prov.) | 51 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $548.39 | 27.4 | 20.03 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 51 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $358.10 | 26.0 | 13.78 | Analyst | 51 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $206.43 | 3.7 | 56.35 | Analyst | 51 |
| PEG | 5Y | $1044.55 | 75.8 | 13.78 | Analyst | 51 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $608.75 | 44.2 | 13.78 | Analyst | 51 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.