QuarterlyIQ Insights · INCY
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $103.23. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $103.40 | 15.1 | 5.75 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $146.90 | 20.9 | 7.01 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $143.69 | 19.3 | 7.44 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $83.43 | 3.4 | 24.23 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $199.84 | 26.9 | 7.44 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $174.58 | 23.5 | 7.44 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $145.03 | 19.3 | 7.51 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $380.00 | 20.9 | 18.15 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $210.13 | 19.3 | 10.88 | Analyst | 52 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $127.23 | 3.4 | 36.95 | Analyst | 52 |
| PEG | 3Y | $292.23 | 26.9 | 10.88 | Analyst | 52 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $255.30 | 23.5 | 10.88 | Analyst | 52 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $716.09 | 20.9 | 34.20 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $270.73 | 19.3 | 14.02 | Analyst | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $168.56 | 3.4 | 48.95 | Analyst | 50 |
| PEG | 5Y | $376.50 | 26.9 | 14.02 | Analyst | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $328.91 | 23.5 | 14.02 | Analyst | 50 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.