QuarterlyIQ Insights · ITW
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $256.57. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $293.74 | 26.0 | 11.30 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $254.59 | 27.4 | 9.30 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $279.96 | 26.0 | 10.77 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $198.18 | 3.7 | 54.10 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $238.78 | 22.2 | 10.77 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $271.67 | 25.2 | 10.77 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $292.14 | 26.0 | 11.24 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $369.67 | 26.0 | 14.22 | Mgmt(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $302.92 | 27.4 | 11.07 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $352.34 | 26.0 | 13.55 | Analyst | 59 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $229.40 | 3.7 | 62.62 | Analyst | 59 |
| PEG | 3Y | $300.51 | 22.2 | 13.55 | Analyst | 59 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $341.90 | 25.2 | 13.55 | Analyst | 59 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $430.92 | 26.0 | 16.58 | Mgmt(prov.) | 68 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $340.14 | 27.4 | 12.43 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 68 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $410.70 | 26.0 | 15.80 | Analyst | 68 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $252.91 | 3.7 | 69.03 | Analyst | 68 |
| PEG | 5Y | $350.30 | 22.2 | 15.80 | Analyst | 68 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $398.54 | 25.2 | 15.80 | Analyst | 68 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.