QuarterlyIQ Insights · JCI
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $147.81. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $126.07 | 26.0 | 4.85 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $76.16 | 18.0 | 5.02 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $62.28 | 27.4 | 2.28 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $114.12 | 26.0 | 4.39 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $137.48 | 3.7 | 37.53 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $275.48 | 62.8 | 4.39 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $104.43 | 23.8 | 4.39 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $120.72 | 26.0 | 4.64 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $232.02 | 26.0 | 8.93 | Mgmt(prov.) | 45 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $79.31 | 27.4 | 2.90 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 45 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $210.01 | 26.0 | 8.08 | Analyst | 45 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $197.86 | 3.7 | 54.01 | Analyst | 45 |
| PEG | 3Y | $506.99 | 62.8 | 8.08 | Analyst | 45 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $192.18 | 23.8 | 8.08 | Analyst | 45 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $348.44 | 26.0 | 13.40 | Mgmt(prov.) | 41 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $93.18 | 27.4 | 3.40 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 41 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $315.39 | 26.0 | 12.13 | Analyst | 41 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $252.22 | 3.7 | 68.84 | Analyst | 41 |
| PEG | 5Y | $761.37 | 62.8 | 12.13 | Analyst | 41 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $288.61 | 23.8 | 12.13 | Analyst | 41 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.