QuarterlyIQ Insights · JNJ
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $236.99. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $223.07 | 19.3 | 11.55 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $219.90 | 15.1 | 15.48 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $152.42 | 20.9 | 7.28 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $196.42 | 19.3 | 10.17 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $126.56 | 3.4 | 36.75 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $311.23 | 30.6 | 10.17 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $168.41 | 16.6 | 10.17 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $205.42 | 19.3 | 10.64 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $342.72 | 19.3 | 17.74 | Mgmt(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $167.38 | 20.9 | 7.99 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $301.77 | 19.3 | 15.62 | Analyst | 52 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $177.82 | 3.4 | 51.64 | Analyst | 52 |
| PEG | 3Y | $478.15 | 30.6 | 15.62 | Analyst | 52 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $258.73 | 16.6 | 15.62 | Analyst | 52 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $456.31 | 19.3 | 23.63 | Mgmt(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $178.17 | 20.9 | 8.51 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $401.79 | 19.3 | 20.80 | Analyst | 59 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $223.07 | 3.4 | 64.78 | Analyst | 59 |
| PEG | 5Y | $636.63 | 30.6 | 20.80 | Analyst | 59 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $344.49 | 16.6 | 20.80 | Analyst | 59 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.