QuarterlyIQ Insights · LLY
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1144.03. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $700.13 | 19.3 | 36.25 | Mgmt | 31 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $345.36 | 15.1 | 25.71 | TTM | 31 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $317.41 | 20.9 | 15.16 | TTM | 31 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $567.83 | 19.3 | 29.40 | TTM | 31 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $235.12 | 3.4 | 68.28 | TTM | 31 |
| PEG | 12M | $1776.22 | 60.4 | 29.40 | TTM | 31 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $1286.12 | 43.7 | 29.40 | TTM | 31 |
| triangulated | 12M | $590.31 | 19.3 | 30.56 | Triangulated | 31 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $1551.68 | 19.3 | 80.34 | Mgmt(prov.) | 39 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $1138.68 | 20.9 | 54.38 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 39 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $1258.46 | 19.3 | 65.16 | Analyst | 39 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $583.21 | 3.4 | 169.37 | Analyst | 39 |
| PEG | 3Y | $3936.60 | 60.4 | 65.16 | Analyst | 39 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $2850.40 | 43.7 | 65.16 | Analyst | 39 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $2637.65 | 19.3 | 136.57 | Mgmt(prov.) | 44 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $2668.39 | 20.9 | 127.43 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 44 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $2139.22 | 19.3 | 110.76 | Analyst | 44 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $1068.66 | 3.4 | 310.34 | Analyst | 44 |
| PEG | 5Y | $6691.73 | 60.4 | 110.76 | Analyst | 44 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $4845.31 | 43.7 | 110.76 | Analyst | 44 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.