QuarterlyIQ Insights · LULU
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $121.36. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $199.21 | 18.0 | 11.05 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $249.03 | 13.6 | 17.65 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $198.22 | 18.7 | 10.59 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $223.37 | 18.0 | 12.39 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $205.92 | 2.1 | 100.08 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $360.07 | 29.1 | 12.39 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $227.80 | 18.0 | 12.64 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $181.40 | 18.0 | 10.06 | Mgmt(prov.) | 58 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $429.32 | 18.7 | 22.94 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 58 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $203.40 | 18.0 | 11.28 | Analyst | 58 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $187.84 | 2.1 | 91.30 | Analyst | 58 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $327.87 | 29.1 | 11.28 | Analyst | 58 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $170.42 | 18.0 | 9.45 | Mgmt(prov.) | 33 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $718.67 | 18.7 | 38.40 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 33 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $191.09 | 18.0 | 10.60 | Analyst | 33 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $176.68 | 2.1 | 85.87 | Analyst | 33 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $308.02 | 29.1 | 10.60 | Analyst | 33 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.