QuarterlyIQ Insights · MA
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $495.06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $177.19 | 14.5 | 12.25 | Mgmt | 45 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $253.52 | 12.8 | 19.84 | TTM | 45 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $253.41 | 14.5 | 17.52 | TTM | 45 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $102.31 | 3.1 | 33.24 | TTM | 45 |
| PEG | 12M | $484.79 | 27.7 | 17.52 | TTM | 45 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $624.69 | 35.7 | 17.52 | TTM | 45 |
| triangulated | 12M | $265.60 | 14.5 | 18.36 | Triangulated | 45 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $293.02 | 14.5 | 20.26 | Mgmt(prov.) | 45 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $441.33 | 12.8 | 34.54 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 45 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $419.08 | 14.5 | 28.97 | Analyst | 45 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $196.64 | 3.1 | 63.89 | Analyst | 45 |
| PEG | 3Y | $801.73 | 27.7 | 28.97 | Analyst | 45 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $1033.08 | 35.7 | 28.97 | Analyst | 45 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $409.78 | 14.5 | 28.33 | Mgmt(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $638.64 | 12.8 | 49.98 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $586.07 | 14.5 | 40.52 | Analyst | 46 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $303.99 | 3.1 | 98.77 | Analyst | 46 |
| PEG | 5Y | $1121.17 | 27.7 | 40.52 | Analyst | 46 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $1444.71 | 35.7 | 40.52 | Analyst | 46 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.