QuarterlyIQ Insights · MAR
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $393.61. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $207.42 | 18.0 | 11.51 | Mgmt | 49 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $199.49 | 18.7 | 10.66 | TTM | 49 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $187.86 | 18.0 | 10.42 | TTM | 49 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $200.78 | 2.1 | 97.59 | TTM | 49 |
| PEG | 12M | $587.36 | 56.4 | 10.42 | TTM | 49 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $298.72 | 28.7 | 10.42 | TTM | 49 |
| triangulated | 12M | $189.21 | 18.0 | 10.49 | Triangulated | 49 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $320.66 | 18.0 | 17.79 | Mgmt(prov.) | 43 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $229.33 | 18.7 | 12.25 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 43 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $290.42 | 18.0 | 16.11 | Analyst | 43 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $255.33 | 2.1 | 124.10 | Analyst | 43 |
| PEG | 3Y | $908.06 | 56.4 | 16.11 | Analyst | 43 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $461.82 | 28.7 | 16.11 | Analyst | 43 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $428.73 | 18.0 | 23.78 | Mgmt(prov.) | 39 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $251.66 | 18.7 | 13.45 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 39 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $388.30 | 18.0 | 21.54 | Analyst | 39 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $299.70 | 2.1 | 145.66 | Analyst | 39 |
| PEG | 5Y | $1214.09 | 56.4 | 21.54 | Analyst | 39 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $617.47 | 28.7 | 21.54 | Analyst | 39 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.