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QuarterlyIQ Insights · MGM

Factors

The full factor breakdown (the numbers behind each rank). The overview page shows the same reads in short form; this is the depth.

Factor signals

Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a plain-language read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.

Recent financial performance
weak

Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).

28th pctl · Consumer Discretionary
The numbers
bonus
0
dir share
0.8026
slope norm
0.0447
Earnings quality
robust

Over the trailing year it converted 13.98x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated robust grew net income 65% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=2427).

97th pctl · Consumer Discretionary
The numbers
ttm ni
182.44
ttm cfo
2550.09
Macro sensitivity

Most sensitive to the broad stock market.

  • the broad stock market: This stock moves with the broad market (high beta).β 1.29 · R² 0.27

Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).

Management & capital allocation
volatile

4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=486).

21th pctl · Consumer Discretionary
The numbers
n events
4
raw activity
1.1627
directional rank
0.8869
directional status
capital_friendly

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.

Earnings setup & market context

The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.

Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
neutralEPS revised -3.2% / 30d, n=12for period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $0.63 → $0.61 (-3.2% / 30d). 5 raised, 6 cut, 12 covering analysts.

Rating actions

1 upgrade, 1 downgrade / 30d, 2 maintained. 48% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 16.8% above current price.

Material events

1 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.

Sector context
Intermediate · Weekly
Sector phase: consumer discretionary is in maturing, with decelerating (~0.5 years in phase).
Sector regime (90d momentum): headwind.
headwind-7.6%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLY

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

Full consumer discretionary context →All sectors →

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifierLong-term · 1–3 yr
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
SteadyE -0.09 · M +0.18
Single-axisFEARz -2.20

Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.