QuarterlyIQ Insights · MKC
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $48.60. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $51.41 | 14.7 | 4.68 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $45.35 | 18.9 | 2.40 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $52.22 | 17.1 | 3.06 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $44.17 | 1.7 | 26.46 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $57.69 | 18.9 | 3.06 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $81.21 | 26.5 | 3.06 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $54.57 | 17.1 | 3.20 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $64.25 | 18.9 | 3.41 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $62.28 | 17.1 | 3.65 | Analyst | 46 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $58.20 | 1.7 | 34.86 | Analyst | 46 |
| PEG | 3Y | $68.81 | 18.9 | 3.65 | Analyst | 46 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $96.86 | 26.5 | 3.65 | Analyst | 46 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $81.05 | 18.9 | 4.30 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 75 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $70.05 | 17.1 | 4.11 | Analyst | 75 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $69.96 | 1.7 | 41.91 | Analyst | 75 |
| PEG | 5Y | $77.39 | 18.9 | 4.11 | Analyst | 75 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $108.94 | 26.5 | 4.11 | Analyst | 75 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.