QuarterlyIQ Insights · MO
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $71.55. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $96.24 | 17.1 | 5.64 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $86.97 | 14.7 | 6.74 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $96.25 | 18.9 | 5.10 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $94.02 | 17.1 | 5.51 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $22.36 | 1.7 | 13.39 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $71.69 | 13.0 | 5.51 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $59.43 | 10.8 | 5.51 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $94.15 | 17.1 | 5.52 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $108.81 | 17.1 | 6.38 | Mgmt(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $104.40 | 18.9 | 5.53 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $106.30 | 17.1 | 6.23 | Analyst | 46 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $18.78 | 1.7 | 11.25 | Analyst | 46 |
| PEG | 3Y | $81.05 | 13.0 | 6.23 | Analyst | 46 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $67.19 | 10.8 | 6.23 | Analyst | 46 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $118.09 | 17.1 | 6.92 | Mgmt(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $110.21 | 18.9 | 5.84 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $115.37 | 17.1 | 6.76 | Analyst | 59 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $16.72 | 1.7 | 10.02 | Analyst | 59 |
| PEG | 5Y | $87.96 | 13.0 | 6.76 | Analyst | 59 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $72.92 | 10.8 | 6.76 | Analyst | 59 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.