QuarterlyIQ Insights · MPC
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $258.11. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $173.43 | 9.1 | 30.17 | TTM | 35 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $343.20 | 18.8 | 18.22 | TTM | 35 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $229.86 | 18.1 | 12.69 | TTM | 35 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $793.96 | 1.8 | 429.86 | TTM | 35 |
| PEG | 12M | $184.93 | 14.6 | 12.69 | TTM | 35 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $218.47 | 17.2 | 12.69 | TTM | 35 |
| triangulated | 12M | $249.97 | 18.1 | 13.80 | Triangulated | 35 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $126.07 | 18.8 | 6.69 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $768.81 | 18.1 | 42.44 | Analyst | 59 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $840.23 | 1.8 | 454.91 | Analyst | 59 |
| PEG | 3Y | $618.54 | 14.6 | 42.44 | Analyst | 59 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $730.73 | 17.2 | 42.44 | Analyst | 59 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $64.66 | 18.8 | 3.43 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 46 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $1719.48 | 18.1 | 94.93 | Analyst | 46 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $872.56 | 1.8 | 472.41 | Analyst | 46 |
| PEG | 5Y | $1383.40 | 14.6 | 94.93 | Analyst | 46 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $1634.31 | 17.2 | 94.93 | Analyst | 46 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.