QuarterlyIQ Insights · MRK
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $119.57. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $98.50 | 19.3 | 5.10 | Mgmt | 0 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $119.57 | 20.9 | 5.71 | TTM | 0 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $89.23 | 19.3 | 4.62 | TTM | 0 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $88.93 | 3.4 | 25.82 | TTM | 0 |
| PEG | 12M | $545.28 | 118.0 | 4.62 | TTM | 0 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $71.78 | 15.5 | 4.62 | TTM | 0 |
| triangulated | 12M | $92.90 | 19.3 | 4.81 | Triangulated | 0 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $398.55 | 19.3 | 20.64 | Mgmt(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $149.86 | 20.9 | 7.16 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 52 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $361.04 | 19.3 | 18.69 | Analyst | 52 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $106.59 | 3.4 | 30.95 | Analyst | 52 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $290.42 | 15.5 | 18.69 | Analyst | 52 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $1011.98 | 19.3 | 52.40 | Mgmt(prov.) | 37 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $174.21 | 20.9 | 8.32 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 37 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $916.73 | 19.3 | 47.47 | Analyst | 37 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $120.28 | 3.4 | 34.93 | Analyst | 37 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $737.42 | 15.5 | 47.47 | Analyst | 37 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.