QuarterlyIQ Insights · MS
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $210.19. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $147.68 | 14.5 | 10.21 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $137.84 | 2.0 | 67.40 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $159.69 | 14.5 | 11.04 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $110.54 | 3.1 | 35.92 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $155.74 | 14.1 | 11.04 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $175.62 | 15.9 | 11.04 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $166.49 | 14.5 | 11.51 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $192.87 | 14.5 | 13.33 | Mgmt(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $145.81 | 2.0 | 71.30 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $208.55 | 14.5 | 14.42 | Analyst | 59 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $214.46 | 3.1 | 69.68 | Analyst | 59 |
| PEG | 3Y | $203.40 | 14.1 | 14.42 | Analyst | 59 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $229.36 | 15.9 | 14.42 | Analyst | 59 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $230.44 | 14.5 | 15.93 | Mgmt(prov.) | 70 |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $151.37 | 2.0 | 74.02 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 70 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $249.18 | 14.5 | 17.23 | Analyst | 70 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $333.61 | 3.1 | 108.39 | Analyst | 70 |
| PEG | 5Y | $243.02 | 14.1 | 17.23 | Analyst | 70 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $274.04 | 15.9 | 17.23 | Analyst | 70 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.