QuarterlyIQ Insights · MSI
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $413.98. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $539.03 | 31.8 | 16.93 | Mgmt | 48 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $410.04 | 25.6 | 17.92 | TTM | 48 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $490.53 | 33.1 | 14.81 | TTM | 48 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $449.88 | 31.8 | 14.13 | TTM | 48 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $572.38 | 8.7 | 66.07 | TTM | 48 |
| PEG | 12M | $528.25 | 37.4 | 14.13 | TTM | 48 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $403.05 | 28.5 | 14.13 | TTM | 48 |
| triangulated | 12M | $478.31 | 31.8 | 15.02 | Triangulated | 48 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $906.36 | 31.8 | 28.47 | Mgmt(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $867.41 | 33.1 | 26.19 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 59 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $756.46 | 31.8 | 23.76 | Analyst | 59 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $847.48 | 8.7 | 97.83 | Analyst | 59 |
| PEG | 3Y | $888.23 | 37.4 | 23.76 | Analyst | 59 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $677.72 | 28.5 | 23.76 | Analyst | 59 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $1281.61 | 31.8 | 40.25 | Mgmt(prov.) | 62 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $1268.42 | 33.1 | 38.29 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 62 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $1069.65 | 31.8 | 33.60 | Analyst | 62 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $1100.93 | 8.7 | 127.08 | Analyst | 62 |
| PEG | 5Y | $1255.98 | 37.4 | 33.60 | Analyst | 62 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $958.31 | 28.5 | 33.60 | Analyst | 62 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.