QuarterlyIQ Insights · NCLH
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $19.02. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $29.21 | 18.0 | 1.62 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $53.27 | 13.6 | 6.43 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $40.02 | 18.0 | 2.22 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $39.90 | 2.1 | 19.39 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $24.29 | 10.9 | 2.22 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $40.68 | 18.0 | 2.26 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $24.31 | 18.0 | 1.35 | Mgmt(prov.) | 53 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $33.31 | 18.0 | 1.85 | Analyst | 53 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $62.83 | 2.1 | 30.54 | Analyst | 53 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $20.22 | 10.9 | 1.85 | Analyst | 53 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $21.51 | 18.0 | 1.19 | Mgmt(prov.) | 29 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $29.47 | 18.0 | 1.63 | Analyst | 29 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $85.05 | 2.1 | 41.34 | Analyst | 29 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $17.89 | 10.9 | 1.63 | Analyst | 29 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.