QuarterlyIQ Insights · NFLX
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $81.41. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $31.35 | 10.0 | 3.21 | TTM | 46 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $40.46 | 14.6 | 2.77 | TTM | 46 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $41.94 | 13.5 | 3.10 | TTM | 46 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $18.18 | 1.7 | 10.49 | TTM | 46 |
| PEG | 12M | $50.63 | 16.3 | 3.10 | TTM | 46 |
| triangulated | 12M | $42.85 | 13.5 | 3.17 | Triangulated | 46 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $164.05 | 14.6 | 11.22 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 40 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $62.93 | 13.5 | 4.65 | Analyst | 40 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $28.90 | 1.7 | 16.67 | Analyst | 40 |
| PEG | 3Y | $75.97 | 16.3 | 4.65 | Analyst | 40 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $417.12 | 14.6 | 28.53 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 6 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $82.49 | 13.5 | 6.10 | Analyst | 6 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $39.36 | 1.7 | 22.71 | Analyst | 6 |
| PEG | 5Y | $99.58 | 16.3 | 6.10 | Analyst | 6 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.