QuarterlyIQ Insights · NKE
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $44.63. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $15.50 | 18.0 | 0.86 | Mgmt | 21 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $13.24 | 18.7 | 0.71 | TTM | 21 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $27.22 | 18.0 | 1.51 | TTM | 21 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $65.73 | 2.1 | 31.94 | TTM | 21 |
| PEG | 12M | $126.99 | 84.1 | 1.51 | TTM | 21 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $46.23 | 30.6 | 1.51 | TTM | 21 |
| triangulated | 12M | $30.35 | 18.0 | 1.68 | Triangulated | 21 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $29.08 | 18.0 | 1.61 | Mgmt(prov.) | 20 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $51.05 | 18.0 | 2.83 | Analyst | 20 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $62.50 | 2.1 | 30.38 | Analyst | 20 |
| PEG | 3Y | $238.14 | 84.1 | 2.83 | Analyst | 20 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $86.70 | 30.6 | 2.83 | Analyst | 20 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $44.22 | 18.0 | 2.45 | Mgmt(prov.) | 13 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $77.64 | 18.0 | 4.31 | Analyst | 13 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $60.43 | 2.1 | 29.37 | Analyst | 13 |
| PEG | 5Y | $362.15 | 84.1 | 4.31 | Analyst | 13 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $131.84 | 30.6 | 4.31 | Analyst | 13 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.