QuarterlyIQ Insights · NOC
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $548.55. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $718.75 | 26.0 | 27.65 | Mgmt | 50 |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $574.57 | 18.0 | 36.87 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $624.36 | 27.4 | 22.81 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $758.78 | 26.0 | 29.19 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $1055.51 | 3.7 | 288.11 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $168.07 | 5.8 | 29.19 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $552.29 | 18.9 | 29.19 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $794.29 | 26.0 | 30.56 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $764.29 | 26.0 | 29.40 | Mgmt(prov.) | 44 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $1738.43 | 27.4 | 63.51 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 44 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $806.85 | 26.0 | 31.04 | Analyst | 44 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $1315.24 | 3.7 | 359.00 | Analyst | 44 |
| PEG | 3Y | $178.72 | 5.8 | 31.04 | Analyst | 44 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $587.28 | 18.9 | 31.04 | Analyst | 44 |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $796.24 | 26.0 | 30.63 | Mgmt(prov.) | 14 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $3440.63 | 27.4 | 125.69 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 14 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $840.58 | 26.0 | 32.34 | Analyst | 14 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $1523.01 | 3.7 | 415.72 | Analyst | 14 |
| PEG | 5Y | $186.19 | 5.8 | 32.34 | Analyst | 14 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $611.83 | 18.9 | 32.34 | Analyst | 14 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.