QuarterlyIQ Insights · NVR

Price

Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.

Price

Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.

Close 2026-06-09

Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.

EarningsMaterial event

What it's worth (estimated)

A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $6414.08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.

12-month· primaryfair

$7155.95consensus

Range $6372.45 – $7430.22

vs price: -10% below

Method agreement 50/100 · 6 methods

No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.

3-yearfair

$6493.79consensus

Range $5190.89 – $6952.37

vs price: -1% below

Method agreement 58/100 · 5 methods

Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.

5-yearfair

$6703.92consensus

Range $3943.11 – $6975.93

vs price: -4% below

Method agreement 52/100 · 5 methods

Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.

By method

Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.

Method	Horizon	Est. price	Multiple	Per-share input	EPS source	Conf.
Peer P/FCF	12M	$7868.59	18.7	420.45	TTM	50
Peer P/E	12M	$7394.73	18.0	410.17	TTM	50
Peer P/S	12M	$6917.17	2.1	3361.93	TTM	50
PEG	12M	$2374.36	5.8	410.17	TTM	50
Own P/E history	12M	$6190.88	15.1	410.17	TTM	50
triangulated	12M	$7442.05	18.0	412.80	Triangulated	50
Peer P/FCF	3Y	$5209.46	18.7	278.36	Hist. CAGR(prov.)	58
Peer P/E	3Y	$7756.54	18.0	430.24	Analyst	58
Peer P/S	3Y	$6952.37	2.1	3379.03	Analyst	58
PEG	3Y	$2490.53	5.8	430.24	Analyst	58
Own P/E history	3Y	$6493.79	15.1	430.24	Analyst	58
Peer P/FCF	5Y	$3957.22	18.7	211.45	Hist. CAGR(prov.)	52
Peer P/E	5Y	$8007.53	18.0	444.16	Analyst	52
Peer P/S	5Y	$6975.93	2.1	3390.49	Analyst	52
PEG	5Y	$2571.12	5.8	444.16	Analyst	52
Own P/E history	5Y	$6703.92	15.1	444.16	Analyst	52

Composite score history

Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.

60 snapshots

P/E history

Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.

71 monthly points available

Coming next

Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.