QuarterlyIQ Insights · ODFL
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $248.73. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $151.36 | 18.0 | 8.33 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $130.50 | 27.4 | 4.77 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $124.25 | 26.0 | 4.78 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $92.71 | 3.7 | 25.31 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $250.61 | 52.4 | 4.78 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $240.25 | 50.3 | 4.78 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $127.75 | 26.0 | 4.91 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $165.61 | 27.4 | 6.05 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 53 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $208.53 | 26.0 | 8.02 | Analyst | 53 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $120.37 | 3.7 | 32.86 | Analyst | 53 |
| PEG | 3Y | $420.59 | 52.4 | 8.02 | Analyst | 53 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $403.20 | 50.3 | 8.02 | Analyst | 53 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $194.11 | 27.4 | 7.09 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 48 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $294.49 | 26.0 | 11.33 | Analyst | 48 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $143.26 | 3.7 | 39.10 | Analyst | 48 |
| PEG | 5Y | $593.97 | 52.4 | 11.33 | Analyst | 48 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $569.41 | 50.3 | 11.33 | Analyst | 48 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.