QuarterlyIQ Insights · PCAR
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $119.69. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $128.02 | 18.0 | 8.08 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $169.85 | 27.4 | 6.20 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $122.17 | 26.0 | 4.70 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $216.95 | 3.7 | 59.22 | TTM | 50 |
| PEG | 12M | $337.19 | 71.7 | 4.70 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $93.20 | 19.8 | 4.70 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $127.32 | 26.0 | 4.90 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $286.41 | 27.4 | 10.46 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 44 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $243.09 | 26.0 | 9.35 | Analyst | 44 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $211.49 | 3.7 | 57.73 | Analyst | 44 |
| PEG | 3Y | $670.91 | 71.7 | 9.35 | Analyst | 44 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $185.44 | 19.8 | 9.35 | Analyst | 44 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $405.75 | 27.4 | 14.82 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 36 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $384.56 | 26.0 | 14.79 | Analyst | 36 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $207.93 | 3.7 | 56.76 | Analyst | 36 |
| PEG | 5Y | $1061.35 | 71.7 | 14.79 | Analyst | 36 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $293.35 | 19.8 | 14.79 | Analyst | 36 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.