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QuarterlyIQ Insights · PGR

Factors

The full factor breakdown (the numbers behind each rank). The overview page shows the same reads in short form; this is the depth.

Factor signals

Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a plain-language read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.

Recent financial performance
neutral

Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Financials names rated neutral grew net income 52% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=4936).

30th pctl · Financials
The numbers
bonus
0
dir share
1
slope norm
-0.0244
Earnings quality
neutral

Over the trailing year it converted 1.45x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Financials names rated neutral grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=4725).

61th pctl · Financials
The numbers
ttm ni
11559
ttm cfo
16772
Macro sensitivity

Not enough signal yet.

Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).

Management & capital allocation
volatile

2 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Financials names rated volatile grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3774).

27th pctl · Financials
The numbers
n events
2
raw activity
0.6661
directional rank
0.8886
directional status
capital_friendly

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.

Earnings setup & market context

The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.

Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bullish21 analysts, 32% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $3.75 → $3.76 (+0.4% / 30d). 9 raised, 6 cut, 21 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 32% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 7.0% above current price.

Material events

1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.

Transition story with positive analyst positioning (often a turnaround setup).

Sector context
Intermediate · Weekly
Sector phase: financials is in growth, with stable trajectory (~3.2 years in phase).
Sector regime (90d momentum): headwind.
headwind-4.3%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLF

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

Full financials context →All sectors →

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifierLong-term · 1–3 yr
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.57 · M +0.12
Single-axiscoolingz -0.32

Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-09.