QuarterlyIQ Insights · PGR
Price
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $200.00. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
By method
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer P/B | 12M | $100.75 | 2.0 | 49.27 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $357.04 | 12.8 | 27.94 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $274.10 | 14.5 | 18.95 | TTM | 50 |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $417.72 | 3.1 | 135.72 | TTM | 50 |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $386.87 | 20.4 | 18.95 | TTM | 50 |
| triangulated | 12M | $286.46 | 14.5 | 19.80 | Triangulated | 50 |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $172.93 | 2.0 | 84.56 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 36 |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $897.27 | 12.8 | 70.21 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 36 |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $202.76 | 14.5 | 14.02 | Analyst | 36 |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $585.34 | 3.1 | 190.19 | Analyst | 36 |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $286.18 | 20.4 | 14.02 | Analyst | 36 |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $247.91 | 2.0 | 121.23 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 7 |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $1658.56 | 12.8 | 129.79 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | 7 |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $165.84 | 14.5 | 11.47 | Analyst | 7 |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $732.97 | 3.1 | 238.15 | Analyst | 7 |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $234.08 | 20.4 | 11.47 | Analyst | 7 |
Composite score history
Daily snapshots of the composite. Zero is the dotted line. Above it leans positive.
P/E history
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
Composite score history currently shows a rolling 60-day window. We're extending it back through full coverage and adding a “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay (what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.